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Latvia at the Edge: The Looming Risk of a Russian False-Flag Operation in the Baltics

The article argues that Latvia is facing an increasingly dangerous pattern of Russian hybrid provocations, including drone incursions, airspace violations, cyber activities, and disinformation campaigns, that may be laying the groundwork for a potential false-flag incident designed to test NATO cohesion. It highlights how Latvia has responded by strengthening its military capabilities, expanding conscription and territorial defense forces, enhancing counter-drone and civil defense measures, and deepening cooperation with NATO and Nordic allies. The author concludes that while Latvia has taken significant steps to prepare for escalation, NATO must remain vigilant and ready to respond rapidly to ambiguous threats, as future aggression in the Baltics may begin through hybrid tactics rather than conventional military attacks.

Nigeria: An Evolving Security Crisis

The article argues that while violence against Christians in Nigeria is real and severe, framing it solely as religious persecution oversimplifies a complex security crisis involving economic hardship, multiple armed groups, and broader instability. It critiques U.S. policy — especially under President Trump — for focusing too narrowly on protecting Christians, which limits effective solutions. Instead, it advocates a comprehensive approach that includes economic development, support for moderate Muslim voices, governance reforms, and strengthened Nigerian military capacity to address the root causes of violence.

Educating for Complexity

The article argues that hybrid warfare — combining conventional military force with cyber operations, information campaigns, economic pressure, and proxy actors — creates a level of complexity and ambiguity that traditional military education is ill-equipped to address. To prepare officers for this environment, professional military education must prioritize four interconnected capacities: systems thinking, multidomain literacy, epistemic humility, and values-based decision-making, enabling leaders to adapt, learn, and exercise judgment under conditions of uncertainty. Ultimately, the author contends that future military success will depend less on technology or force structure than on developing reflective practitioner-strategists who can think critically, navigate complexity, and uphold ethical standards in rapidly changing conflicts.

Europe’s Breaking Point: Russian Power, Hybrid Pressure, and the Coming Test

The article argues that Russia’s war in Ukraine has evolved into a broader test of European security, with Moscow still intent on weakening NATO, destabilizing neighboring states, and revising the post–Cold War order despite heavy military losses. While Russia’s conventional forces have been degraded, the Kremlin has adapted through mobilization, expanded weapons production, hybrid warfare, and nuclear coercion, exploiting what the author describes as Western political division, slow defense investment, and uncertainty about long-term U.S. commitment. The piece concludes that countries such as Finland, Poland, and the Baltic states are preparing seriously for the threat, while Moldova remains highly vulnerable, and warns that hesitation by NATO and Europe could encourage Russia to expand pressure beyond Ukraine.

After the Parade, the Offensive: How Does Russia Follow Its Victory Day Parade When Victory is Far from Assured?

The article argues that Russia’s Victory Day parade is being used to signal a renewed summer offensive against Ukraine, with Volodymyr Zelensky warning that without faster Western military aid—especially air-defense systems—Russia could gain momentum both on the battlefield and across Europe’s security landscape. It contends that a stronger Russian position in Ukraine would increase pressure on the Baltic states, Moldova, and Finland through military threats, hybrid warfare, and political destabilization. The author concludes that NATO and its allies must rapidly expand military production, reinforce eastern Europe, and strengthen support for Ukraine and Moldova to prevent a broader regional conflict.

The United States and the Crisis of Grand Strategy: Middle East Wars, Global Commitments, and the Challenge of Partisan Policy

The article argues that U.S. foreign policy since 1979 has been defined by strategic incoherence, partisan politics, and the absence of a consistent grand strategy, leading to failures in the Middle East, Global War on Terror (GWOT), and shifting policies toward NATO, Russia, and China. This instability has weakened alliances, undermined deterrence, enabled strategic drift, and highlights the urgent need for a nonpartisan, long-term strategy integrating military, diplomatic, and economic power.

America’s Kurdish Pivot in the “New” Middle East

This article outlines how Kurdish participation in many of the conflicts in the Middle East has shaped the trajectory of America's Middle East policy.

The Islamic Republic’s War Strategy: Survival at Any Cost as Victory

This article outlines the Islamic-Republic's war strategy as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran enters its third week.

Moldova Is the Next Front: Why the West Must Act Now to Secure Europe’s Most Vulnerable Democracy

The article argues that despite significant democratic and pro-European reforms under President Maia Sandu, Moldova’s progress remains dangerously fragile due to Russian military presence in Transnistria, hybrid warfare, energy coercion, and internal political polarization. It contends that only an immediate, coordinated strategy by the United States and European Union — integrating economic support, democratic institution-building, and defense modernization — can prevent Moldova from becoming Russia’s next destabilized frontier and secure its place within Europe’s security architecture.

The War That Refused to End

Four years after Russia’s invasion, the war in Ukraine has surpassed the duration of the Soviet Union’s fight in Operation Barbarossa and evolved into a grinding war of attrition in which Russia has failed to achieve its core objectives while Ukraine has preserved its statehood and defensive cohesion. Despite stalled offensives, mounting economic and manpower pressures on Moscow, and fading hopes for a negotiated freeze, neither side holds decisive advantage, pointing instead toward a prolonged strategic stalemate defined by endurance, resource constraints, and political resolve.